Contact me at al@klrvu-research.com

For Immediate Release

12:35 CST Canadian NewsWire

Attention News Editors:

Kovach pulls ahead of Valeriote in a reversal from the By-Election Trend

WINNIPEG, Oct. 9 /CNW/ -

In another Klrvu Research sponsored poll done on October 8th, it turns out Gloria Kovach Conservative Candidate has reversed the trendline seen in a poll done by the same company taken in August, immediately before the by-election was supposed to happen.

Kovach is now at 29.94% support with the Liberal Frank Valeriote coming in at 27.63% - which is a significant shift from previous support levels which pegged Kovach trailing by roughly 10%.

"I would suggest that the by-election was able to take on a life of its own in the dog days of summer and allowed the Liberals to run a strong local campaign that seemingly kept their numbers at historic levels. As we have seen in the past, a federal election can usurp the issues that may have been influencing a by-election.

I would suggest Gloria has benefited from running a better second campaign, the national campaign simply occurring, and from the growth of the Green party. The Green and NDP have risen considerably and taken support directly from Valeriote," said Allan Bruinooge.

"The NDP has pulled back in front of the Green party, perhaps due to a strong campaign from party leader Jack Layton. Interestingly the Green's strong performance from their leader has benefited their Guelph candidate, however this vote may be quite soft and bleed back through strategic voting."

This poll was completed Oct 8th 2008, from unique households in the Federal Riding of Guelph. 1,711 completed responses out of 13,307 possible respondents, for a response level of 13% with a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of 2.31%

The Question:

"Hello, you have been selected for a 30 second automated

election poll for KLRVu.com

Please note; this is for research purposes and is exempt from the National DNC list legislation.

Your opinion matters and your participation is important to Canada. 

If the Federal Election were held today how would you vote?

Press One for Jack Layton's New Democratic Party

Press Two for Stephen Harper's Conservative Party

Press Three for Elizabeth May's Green Party

Press Four for Stephane Dion's Liberal Party

Press Five for Undecided."

"Thank you for your time."

How this poll was conducted: This KLRVU poll was conducted by touchtone technology which polled households across Guelph. Using this technology with the voice of a professional announcer all respondents heard the questions asked identically. In theory, with the stated sample size, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other. There are other possible sources of error in all surveys that may be more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. These include refusals to be interviewed, question wording and question order, weighting by demographic control data and the manner in which respondents are filtered (such as, determining who is a likely participant). It is difficult to quantify the errors that may result from these factors.

About KLRVU Research Based in Winnipeg, It is a privately owned aboriginal polling company working with private firms since 2006, doing research services.